Rabu, 11 April 2012

Iran and Syria countermove in geopolitical chess games.....


Exclusive: Iran’s “new initiatives” place Israel at center of nuclear talks 
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 11, 2012, 10:20 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Iran nuclear   Israel   negotiations   Istanbul 
Iran's top nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili

The head of Iran’s National Security Council Saeed Jalili suggested enigmatically Wednesday, April 11, that its representatives would present “new initiatives” at the negotiations with six world powers starting in Istanbul next Saturday.  “We hope,” he said, “that the powers will also enter talks with constructive approaches; the language of threat and pressure against the Iranian nation has never yielded results.”
Although Jalili, who will lead the Iranian negotiating team, did not divulge the nature of the new initiatives, DEBKAfile’s Iranian and intelligence sources have obtained their content:
1. Iran will continue to enrich low-grade 3.5 percent uranium but not consent to a cap on quantities;
2. The removal of enriched uranium outside Iran’s borders is not open to discussion and will not be permitted;
3. Iran is prepared for a deal whereby the six powers endorse Iran’s right to enrich as much high-grade 20-percent enriched uranium as it wishes according to a three-part fomula:
a) A joint panel of the six powers and Iran will determine the amounts required to meet the needs of its reactor and the production of isotopes for medical research; b) Iran will sell the surfeit on the international market and become the world’s No. 1 exporter of 20-percent enriched uranium; c) Excess quantities over and above a) and b) will be downgraded by a reverse process from 20 to 3.5 percent.
4.  Iran will reject demands to shut down the underground enrichment plant at Fordow, near Qom, but agree to signing the Non-Proliferation Treaty’s Additional Protocol - which would permit IAEA inspectors to make spot checks at all suspect nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow - with one proviso: The six powers must also require Israel to sign the NPT plus the Additional Protocol. If Israel doesn’t sign both parts of this treaty, neither will Iran endorse the AP.5. The “Israeli dossier” tops the tactical agenda set out by Iran’s top strategic team for the forthcoming nuclear negotiations Istanbul.

Its representatives will be briefed to turn aside every demand the world powers make of Tehran by twisting it around and pointing it at Israel’s alleged nuclear program. They will argue that they are acting to promote President Barack Obama’s avowed vision of a nuclear-free Middle East. By using this stratagem, the Iranians expect to come away from the negotiating table sitting pretty, having extracted international permission both for enriching as much high-grade uranium as they want and for keeping the Fordow facility in full operation.



Syria says it will comply with truce deadline
Damascus agrees to "cease all military fighting" as of Thursday, but reserves right to respond to "terrorist attacks".
Last Modified: 11 Apr 2012 20:17
Syria has told Kofi Annan, the special peace envoy of the UN and Arab League, that it will halt all fighting by Thursday morning but reserves the right to respond to any attack by "armed terrorist groups", his spokesman said.
In a letter the Syrian Foreign Ministry said Damascus agreed "to cease all military fighting throughout Syrian territory as of 6 am (0300 GMT) tomorrow, Thursday," Ahmad Fawzi said.
The statement also said that the Syrian government reserves "the right to respond proportionately to any attacks carried out by armed terrorist groups against civilians, government forces or public and private property".
Annan said he would continue to work with the government and opposition to ensure complete implementation of his six-point peace plan.

The government's pledge to stop army operations means the opposition must now also honour the ceasefire, Russia's deputy foreign minister said.
"The Syrian government has declared it will cease fire as of 6 am on April 12. Now it's up to the armed opposition," Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov said on Twitter. "Those are the conditions of the Annan plan."
Al Jazeera's Cath Turner, reporting from the UN in New York, said the statement by the Syrian government "has been greeted with a great deal of suspicion and cynicism".
"Susan Rice, the US ambassador to the UN, and the current president of the UN Security Council, spoke about the letter that has been submitted by president Assad, and she was very clear in the fact that she was not taking anything in that letter at its word, because, she said, President Assad did not have a very good track record at keeping his word," our correspondent said.
Iranian support
Meanwhile, Annan has welcomed Iranian support for his efforts to secure peace in Syria, telling Tehran that it can be "part of the solution".

Annan was speaking in Tehran on Wednesday following talks with Ali Akbar Salehi, the Iranian foreign minister.
Commitment to stop violence by all parties
Inclusive Syrian-led political process
Daily two-hour humanitarian ceasefire
Media access to all areas affected by the fighting
Release of people detained arbitrarily
Right to demonstrate
While endorsing Annan's peace plan, which calls for the ceasefire by Thursday, Salehi said Syria's government needed to be given time to implement reforms.
Tehran is considered a key regional ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who faces growing international pressure over the crackdown by security forces that has seen cities shelled and thousands of people killed.
Annan stressed again the urgency of finding a way to end the killing and to provide humanitarian assistance to those in need, before getting all parties to the table.
"The political process must be Syrian-led and respect the aspirations of the Syrian people," Annan said.

"What is important is that governments in the region and beyond work with Syria to resolve the crisis.
"The geopolitical position of Syria is such that any miscalculation can have unimaginable consequences."
'Further militarisation disastrous' 
Regarding a ceasefire agreement which requires Syrian government forces to halt operations by April 12, Annan said he had received assurances that the deadline would be honoured.
"If everyone respects it I think by six in the morning on Thursday we shall see improved conditions on the ground," Annan said.
Answering a question whether he supported calls by some countries, such as Saudi Arabia and Qatar, to arm the Syrian opposition, Annan said "any further militarisation will be disastrous".
Salehi offered qualified Iranian support for Annan's efforts.
"We believe the people of Syria, like other countries, have the right to enjoy all the rights enjoyed by other world nations, such as freedom of political parties, freedom of elections, a constitution that encompasses all the wishes of a nation," he said.
"At the same time, we have announced that we oppose interference in the affairs of all countries, including Syria.
"The government of Bashar al-Assad has promised change to meet the demands of the people... and in fact the opportunity must be given to the Syrian government."
Ceasefire deadline
Annan's peace plan, presented last month, calls on the Syrian government to withdraw troops from towns and end the use of heavy weaponry.

Under the plan, both the army and opposition fighters must adhere to the ceasefire.
Walid al-Muallem, the Syrian foreign minister, on Tuesday demanded guarantees from Annan that the opposition fighters would also honour any truce.
"We will not ask the terrorist groups, which are killing, kidnapping and destroying infrastructure, for guarantees. We want Annan to give us these guarantees," Muallem said during a visit to Moscow.
Syria failed to observe a Tuesday deadline to withdraw its forces from urban areas, and activists reported fresh violence on Wednesday.
The Local Co-ordination Committees said there was shelling of several opposition-held neighbourhoods in the central city of Homs.
The UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said "tens of army vehicles" were deploying in the southern town of Maaraba amid intense shooting.
The Syrian National Council's spokeswoman Basma Kodmani said that if Assad does not show signs of adhering to the ceasefire, the UN Security Council must set an ultimatum with the will to enforce by power.
"What we would like to see is a unanimous decision by members of the Security Council that sends an ultimatum to the regime with a deadline that is not too far down the road that says on such and such a date enforcement measures will intervene", Kodmani told Reuters.
Assad's forces have killed more than 9,000 people in the past year, according to a UN estimate. Damascus says "armed terrorist groups" have killed more than 2,500 soldiers and security personnel.

Tidak ada komentar:

Posting Komentar